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Not yet over: 2008

Not yet over: 2008

in VBA Journaal door

I had only just started as editor in chief of VBA Journaal when the credit crisis (‘the global financial crisis’) erupted. This event had a huge impact on both my professional life and my personal life. The investment funds that I oversaw were at risk of collapsing, banks were being held afloat with all sorts of buoyancy aids and the media were asking me to explain all this. My children, who were still very young at the time, wondered whether cash machines would continue to dispense money and whether their grandparents’ pensions were safe. My own portfolio halved in value. Through robust government intervention, the problems were controlled relatively quickly.

Signals are green for quant investing

Signals are green for quant investing

in VBA Journaal door

In this article we will reflect on the developments in the field of quant investing and argue that the future looks bright. With decades worth of experience at actively navigating multiple investment cycles we have learned that a long-term winning formula can sometimes feel like riding a rollercoaster in the short run. Due to this cyclical nature quant investing is often more a test of character than a test of intelligence and ‘strong hands’ are a necessary condition for success.

Broadening our thinking as the basis for finance professionals

Broadening our thinking as the basis for finance professionals

in VBA Journaal door

Through the various crises in recent decades, it has become clear that the world is fundamentally uncertain – and not stochastically uncertain. With the new insights based on, among other things, complexity theory, it starts to dawn in science and in practice, that we need a greater diversity of models and tools. From Agent Based Modeling and network theory to premortems and scenario thinking. These will enhance financial risk management practices.

DeFi and the foundation of a new finance

DeFi and the foundation of a new finance

in VBA Journaal door

Out with the old

The Determinants of Institutional Capital Allocation to Real Estate

The Determinants of Institutional Capital Allocation to Real Estate

in VBA Journaal door

Pension funds around the world are increasingly investing in alternative assets, and the most important of these “alternatives” is real estate. We employ the CEM global pension fund database to shed light on the determinants of pension fund allocation to real estate, both over time and in the cross-section. We find that pension funds’ strategic allocation to real estate – net of return effects – is the result of the historical performance of real estate relative to other asset classes, and that pension funds quickly adjust their actual allocation rate to their strategic allocation decisions.

Green hydrogen as an investment opportunity

Green hydrogen as an investment opportunity

in VBA Journaal door

According to the World Resources Institute, the energy sector is responsible for approximately 73% of global greenhouse gas emissions. Accordingly, directing capital towards investments that support the transition of the energy sector towards a decarbonised, decentralised, flexible, and consumer-oriented future will be a decisive factor in determining which global warming trajectory we will follow from here on out.

Samenvatting van RBA-scriptie

Samenvatting van RBA-scriptie

in VBA Journaal door

LANGE TERMIJN SMALL-CAP AANDELENPORTEFEUILLE ALS ALTERNATIEF VOOR PRIVATE AANDELEN

The influence of climate risk on real estate valuation

The influence of climate risk on real estate valuation

in VBA Journaal door

There can be no mistaking the effects that climate change has had on communities around the world in 2021. There are plenty of examples. Heavy rainfall has caused widespread flooding and landslides in The Netherlands, Australia and wide tracts of the US. There have been ferocious wildfires and droughts in California, Greece and Australia, while the hottest-ever temperature in Europe was recorded in August: 48.8°C in Sicily. We believe climate risks are misunderstood and mispriced by participants in real estate markets.

Beleggen met impact in Nederlands zorgvastgoed

Beleggen met impact in Nederlands zorgvastgoed

in VBA Journaal door

STABIELE INKOMSTEN DOOR TE INVESTEREN IN VERDUURZAMING EN ENERGIETRANSITIE

Ten Global Trends Every Smart Person Should Know: And Many Others You Will Find Interesting

Ten Global Trends Every Smart Person Should Know: And Many Others You Will Find Interesting

in VBA Journaal door

De wereld is onvergelijkbaar verbeterd in de afgelopen decennia. Armoede en honger zijn bijna verdwenen, grondstoffen zijn goedkoper, de aarde wordt groener, oorlog is een uitzondering, steeds minder mensen sterven door natuurrampen. Zo was de status althans toen Bailey en Tupy hun boek publiceerden, ruim voor het uitbreken van de Oekraïne crisis begin 2022.

Sustainability embedding in Dutch listed companies

Sustainability embedding in Dutch listed companies

in VBA Journaal door

Dutch listed companies have, over the past decades, become increasingly engaged with the social and environmental footprints of their activities. This engagement has varied in intensity, with some companies leading international sustainability rankings while others are just getting started. Despite these efforts, it is clear that governments, investors, customers and society at large are demanding more corporate responsibility for global issues such as climate change, biodiversity loss and human rights abuses.

De bonus die reële activa particulieren bieden, is voor institutionele beleggers slechts rompslomp

De bonus die reële activa particulieren bieden, is voor institutionele beleggers slechts rompslomp

in VBA Journaal door

Reële activa, daar hou ik van. Niks tegen ‘gewone’ beursgenoteerde liquide beleggingen hoor, en ja, ik kijk door de bril van een gewone, niet zeer vermogende particulier. Maar ik denk aan de vreugde die een eigen huis kan geven, of een vakantiehuis, of kunst en andere ‘collectables’ zoals bijzondere horloges, juwelen of klassieke auto’s. Die vreugde is formidabele bonus bovenop de waardestijging (meestal door ordinaire asset inflatie) die zulke activa op lange termijn soms ook bieden. Zeker ‘collectibles’ brengen vaak zoveel meer aan leerzame ervaringen met zich mee dan een passief belegde portefeuille van bijvoorbeeld trackers.

Het verzoek

Het verzoek

in VBA Journaal door

Johan is beleggingsdeskundige en adviseert pensioenfondsen bij BM Fiduciair Beheer. Pensioenfonds SAGA is Johans grootste klant. Tijdens de laatste bestuursvergadering bespreekt het bestuur een investering in een infrastructuurproject waar Johan een analyse voor geschreven heeft. Op basis van grondig, zorgvuldig en behoedzaam onderzoek van alle relevante kenmerken van de belegging is Johan tot de conclusie gekomen dat dit infrastructuurproject in de context van de totale portefeuille geen meerwaarde heeft voor Pensioenfonds SAGA. Het bestuur besluit toch de investering te doen en het vraagt Johan een analyse te schrijven waaruit blijkt dat dit een geschikte belegging is voor SAGA zodat het besluit goed onderbouwd wordt. Moet Johan aan het verzoek van zijn klant gehoor geven en de positieve analyse schrijven?

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